Race 3A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 17.9% 17.5% 16.7% 16.0% 13.6% 10.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Tillson 24.1% 22.1% 20.3% 14.9% 9.2% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.0% 3.6% 4.5% 5.5% 7.4% 12.0% 15.3% 17.2% 15.8% 9.3% 6.2%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 14.5% 14.8% 15.5% 17.2% 16.1% 11.9% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 3.7% 4.7% 6.3% 9.5% 14.1% 16.4% 20.1% 20.2%
Joe Cooner 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.5% 10.8% 14.2% 17.5% 20.1% 18.1%
Lewis Bragg 8.3% 8.9% 10.9% 11.3% 15.7% 16.4% 13.4% 7.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Richard Kertatos 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.1% 9.8% 13.6% 16.2% 16.1% 12.0% 9.4% 3.3%
Clare Leeper 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 3.6% 4.8% 6.3% 9.7% 13.0% 16.2% 18.8% 22.6%
Ethan Deutsch 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 5.3% 8.4% 11.4% 14.8% 20.2% 28.9%
Payne Donaldson 23.0% 21.6% 18.5% 16.4% 10.5% 5.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.