Race 4A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cole Tillson 24.9% 21.8% 19.0% 15.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 24.8% 21.7% 19.1% 15.3% 9.2% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.6% 15.6% 14.7% 16.7% 14.6% 12.1% 7.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 16.7% 17.2% 18.9% 15.2% 14.0% 9.5% 5.0% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Patrick Cashin 3.2% 3.9% 3.3% 5.2% 9.0% 11.8% 15.8% 15.7% 15.6% 11.2% 5.2%
Lewis Bragg 7.3% 8.6% 11.3% 12.9% 13.7% 16.2% 13.8% 8.2% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
Richard Kertatos 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 6.3% 11.7% 13.5% 15.7% 15.2% 12.8% 8.9% 4.2%
Joe Cooner 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 3.4% 5.2% 7.3% 9.0% 14.9% 17.2% 18.6% 18.9%
Clare Leeper 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 3.7% 4.5% 6.5% 10.6% 14.2% 16.1% 18.2% 20.0%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.9% 4.0% 6.5% 9.4% 12.2% 15.3% 19.6% 23.4%
Ethan Deutsch 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 4.1% 4.9% 8.6% 12.2% 14.6% 20.4% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.