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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+2.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67+0.94vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+0.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.10vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.44+1.92vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.13+2.38vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.28-0.33vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-1.01+0.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.07-5.00vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-1.21-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.26-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Webb Institute1.4324.2%1st Place
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2.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.6724.5%1st Place
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3.68Princeton University1.8716.8%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.058.3%1st Place
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6.92Monmouth University-0.443.5%1st Place
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8.38Drexel University-1.131.4%1st Place
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6.67Princeton University-0.283.3%1st Place
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8.17Villanova University-1.011.9%1st Place
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4.0George Washington University1.0713.6%1st Place
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8.39Unknown School-1.211.5%1st Place
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8.73University of Delaware-1.261.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 24.2% | 22.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 24.5% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 16.8% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Cashin | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.6% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Clare Leeper | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 21.6% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.