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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.84+1.47vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.06+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.22+2.37vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.23+4.61vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.27+0.31vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.92+0.26vs Predicted
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9Auburn University0.63+0.37vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.11+0.56vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-0.89+1.75vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.18-1.21vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-1.27-0.34vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.10-4.53vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.07-5.55vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-0.45-5.40vs Predicted
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20Florida State University-0.89-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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3.47University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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3.12College of Charleston3.060.2%1st Place
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4.23University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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10.61Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.31Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.26Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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9.37Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.56University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.75Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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11.79The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.66North Carolina State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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11.47Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.45Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.75Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 24.5% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 19.0% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Baldridge | 22.4% | 22.0% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 13.1% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Donald Parker | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| John Brandon | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 39.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.