← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Payne Donaldson 24.2% 20.6% 18.6% 14.2% 11.2% 6.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 7.7% 9.3% 10.0% 13.4% 15.6% 14.6% 13.7% 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 16.8% 16.1% 16.4% 16.8% 14.3% 10.2% 6.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 14.6% 14.3% 16.9% 15.7% 15.0% 11.6% 6.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Cole Tillson 23.5% 24.6% 19.2% 14.1% 9.8% 5.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Joe Cooner 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 4.4% 4.8% 8.1% 10.8% 14.2% 16.0% 17.0% 18.2%
Clare Leeper 2.0% 1.5% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 7.2% 8.6% 11.7% 16.6% 19.8% 21.4%
Richard Kertatos 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 9.3% 11.8% 16.2% 17.8% 12.3% 8.8% 3.8%
Patrick Cashin 2.6% 3.5% 4.7% 5.7% 8.2% 10.9% 15.8% 15.3% 16.7% 11.1% 5.4%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 3.0% 4.0% 7.0% 8.9% 12.6% 16.4% 21.6% 22.1%
Ethan Deutsch 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 6.2% 7.6% 11.2% 14.6% 20.0% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.