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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+2.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+3.05vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+0.68vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07-0.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67-2.07vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.01+2.08vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.21+1.31vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.28-1.33vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.44-1.93vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.13-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.26-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Webb Institute1.4324.2%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.057.7%1st Place
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3.68Princeton University1.8716.8%1st Place
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3.92George Washington University1.0714.6%1st Place
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2.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.6723.5%1st Place
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8.08Villanova University-1.011.4%1st Place
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8.31Unknown School-1.212.0%1st Place
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6.67Princeton University-0.284.0%1st Place
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7.07Monmouth University-0.442.6%1st Place
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8.52Drexel University-1.131.5%1st Place
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8.7University of Delaware-1.261.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Payne Donaldson | 24.2% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lewis Bragg | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Connor Mraz | 16.8% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.6% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Cole Tillson | 23.5% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Joe Cooner | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
Clare Leeper | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 21.4% |
Richard Kertatos | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
Patrick Cashin | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 22.1% |
Ethan Deutsch | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.