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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.84+1.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.06+0.13vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.92+4.30vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+3.95vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.23+4.66vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.27+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.51-3.89vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.11+2.65vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.22-2.62vs Predicted
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11Auburn University0.63-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-0.45-0.47vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.07-2.57vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.18-3.11vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.10-4.54vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-0.89-3.22vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-1.27-3.37vs Predicted
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20Florida State University-0.89-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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3.13College of Charleston3.060.2%1st Place
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8.3Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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8.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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10.66Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.24Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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4.11University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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11.65University of North Carolina-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Miami1.220.0%1st Place
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9.33Auburn University0.630.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.43Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.89The Citadel-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.46Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.78Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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14.63North Carolina State University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.78Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 24.2% | 22.2% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 18.7% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Baldridge | 22.0% | 23.0% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 15.0% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Stahmer | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hickling | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Wallace | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Donald Parker | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| John Brandon | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Peltier | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.