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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.87+2.68vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.43+1.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67+0.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.16vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.01+3.30vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.44-2.69vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.44+0.11vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.21+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.26-0.34vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.13-1.55vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.28-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Princeton University1.8715.2%1st Place
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3.09Webb Institute1.4323.5%1st Place
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3.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.6723.4%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.057.0%1st Place
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8.3Villanova University-1.011.2%1st Place
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3.31George Washington University1.4419.6%1st Place
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7.11Monmouth University-0.442.9%1st Place
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8.4Unknown School-1.211.4%1st Place
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8.66University of Delaware-1.261.0%1st Place
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8.45Drexel University-1.131.2%1st Place
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6.78Princeton University-0.283.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor Mraz | 15.2% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Payne Donaldson | 23.5% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Cole Tillson | 23.4% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lewis Bragg | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Joe Cooner | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 19.0% |
Jedidiah Bechtel | 19.6% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Patrick Cashin | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
Clare Leeper | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 22.4% |
Ethan Deutsch | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 26.2% |
Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 21.2% |
Richard Kertatos | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.