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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 15.2% 16.7% 17.9% 17.2% 14.9% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 23.5% 20.0% 18.2% 16.2% 11.9% 6.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Tillson 23.4% 21.0% 18.1% 15.7% 12.2% 6.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 7.0% 8.3% 10.2% 11.9% 16.5% 16.2% 14.4% 8.2% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Joe Cooner 1.2% 1.5% 2.8% 2.9% 4.8% 7.3% 10.2% 14.4% 16.3% 19.7% 19.0%
Jedidiah Bechtel 19.6% 20.0% 18.6% 16.8% 10.6% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 2.9% 3.9% 3.6% 5.2% 7.2% 12.3% 14.6% 18.4% 15.7% 10.1% 6.1%
Clare Leeper 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 4.8% 7.4% 10.4% 13.0% 15.7% 18.7% 22.4%
Ethan Deutsch 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 2.8% 4.0% 6.2% 9.8% 12.3% 16.0% 19.1% 26.2%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 3.9% 6.8% 9.2% 13.9% 15.8% 21.2% 21.2%
Richard Kertatos 3.5% 3.6% 5.0% 6.4% 9.0% 13.9% 16.5% 14.2% 14.2% 9.1% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.