Race 8A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cole Tillson 22.8% 20.3% 20.1% 16.1% 10.4% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jedidiah Bechtel 18.1% 18.8% 18.9% 16.7% 12.7% 8.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 15.7% 15.7% 15.4% 16.6% 14.8% 10.7% 7.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Patrick Cashin 2.5% 3.6% 4.2% 4.8% 7.3% 13.9% 14.9% 15.6% 15.8% 11.2% 6.2%
Payne Donaldson 23.6% 20.7% 17.5% 16.1% 11.5% 6.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Cooner 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 3.0% 4.7% 6.9% 10.4% 13.8% 16.1% 20.2% 18.0%
Richard Kertatos 3.8% 3.9% 5.2% 6.2% 10.7% 12.5% 15.7% 16.6% 13.7% 7.9% 3.9%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 3.5% 4.5% 6.8% 8.5% 14.4% 16.9% 19.3% 21.1%
Lewis Bragg 7.0% 9.5% 9.0% 11.6% 15.2% 16.8% 14.5% 9.2% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Clare Leeper 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.5% 6.3% 9.8% 14.0% 14.8% 17.8% 23.6%
Ethan Deutsch 1.8% 1.1% 2.2% 2.7% 3.8% 5.0% 8.4% 10.7% 15.8% 21.6% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.