Race 9A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Payne Donaldson 21.6% 20.9% 19.2% 14.9% 11.2% 6.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Joe Cooner 2.1% 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.8% 7.8% 11.2% 13.9% 16.7% 18.6% 18.1%
Cole Tillson 24.5% 21.1% 17.7% 14.9% 11.7% 6.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Richard Kertatos 3.6% 3.5% 5.3% 6.2% 9.3% 12.6% 16.0% 16.2% 13.4% 9.6% 4.4%
Patrick Cashin 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 9.1% 12.6% 14.8% 16.7% 14.4% 11.6% 4.8%
Jedidiah Bechtel 17.5% 20.1% 18.5% 17.8% 12.6% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Lewis Bragg 8.2% 8.1% 8.9% 12.2% 14.8% 17.3% 13.1% 9.2% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 6.5% 8.5% 13.9% 18.2% 19.2% 21.7%
Ethan Deutsch 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 4.0% 5.8% 8.2% 10.7% 15.4% 20.4% 28.1%
Clare Leeper 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 5.3% 6.6% 11.2% 12.6% 14.9% 18.2% 22.2%
Connor Mraz 15.1% 16.2% 17.5% 16.6% 13.6% 10.6% 6.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.