Race 10A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cole Tillson 25.1% 21.9% 19.2% 12.6% 10.5% 6.5% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 21.6% 20.8% 18.7% 16.7% 11.5% 6.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 15.3% 15.8% 17.2% 16.8% 14.8% 9.7% 6.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 7.7% 8.2% 8.3% 12.2% 16.7% 17.3% 14.2% 8.7% 4.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Jedidiah Bechtel 18.5% 18.8% 19.4% 16.6% 12.8% 7.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 3.0% 2.9% 4.4% 5.9% 8.3% 12.8% 14.4% 16.4% 14.5% 11.4% 6.0%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 4.5% 7.1% 9.8% 13.6% 16.8% 17.2% 22.3%
Joe Cooner 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 3.6% 5.1% 7.4% 10.1% 13.7% 16.7% 19.4% 17.6%
Richard Kertatos 2.9% 4.4% 4.3% 6.9% 9.3% 13.9% 15.9% 16.1% 13.2% 9.3% 3.9%
Clare Leeper 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.8% 6.5% 9.6% 13.6% 17.7% 19.1% 21.9%
Ethan Deutsch 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 2.6% 2.7% 4.9% 8.7% 11.8% 15.2% 21.2% 28.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.