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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.37+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.62+2.89vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.18-0.89vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.19+0.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.08-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.79vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.11-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Brown University0.3714.9%1st Place
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4.89University of Vermont-0.627.0%1st Place
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2.11Roger Williams University1.1843.1%1st Place
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4.3Northeastern University-0.1910.2%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.734.9%1st Place
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5.74University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.085.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Rhode Island-0.2010.4%1st Place
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5.7University of New Hampshire-1.114.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 14.9% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Petrush | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% |
| Jack Crager | 43.1% | 26.0% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 21.9% |
| Brendan Ballon | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 26.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 10.4% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.