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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+5.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+5.93vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+5.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.83+5.55vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-3.03vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+0.16vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-4.66vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75-1.84vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33-1.19vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-3.01vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+0.39vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-5.48vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-7.59vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-2.20vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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3.97Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.16Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.34Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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13.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.8Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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16.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 19.2% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Emily Casella | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 27.3% | 9.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 19.8% | 30.9% | 10.2% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 11.7% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.