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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.87vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+8.53vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+4.09vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+4.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-0.66vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.07+3.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+1.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.91vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-3.72vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58+0.14vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.73+1.65vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.78-2.40vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-1.50vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-7.87vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.92-6.56vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-6.62vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Yale University2.7312.3%1st Place
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10.53Boston University1.653.2%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston College2.206.7%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.085.7%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University3.0512.7%1st Place
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10.37Roger Williams University2.073.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.9%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College2.909.7%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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13.65Fairfield University0.731.5%1st Place
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10.6Brown University1.783.9%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University1.311.9%1st Place
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7.13University of Rhode Island2.787.8%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College1.924.3%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University1.713.6%1st Place
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15.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 19.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.