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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+4.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+5.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+2.87vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+2.40vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53+2.07vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.12vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71-0.40vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-1.83vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.83+0.48vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.33-2.33vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-3.95vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-0.15vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-1.72vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-8.65vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.01Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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13.85Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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16.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 19.4% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 19.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 35.2% | 10.4% |
| Emily Casella | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 26.4% | 8.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.