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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+1.94vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.99vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.75+4.28vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+3.14vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+2.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+1.96vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+1.54vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83+2.53vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-1.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.75vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-4.06vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-5.47vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-0.56vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-8.24vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67+0.32vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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3.94Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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16.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
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13.79Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 18.4% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.3% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 1.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Casella | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 29.8% | 7.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 76.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 29.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.