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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.29vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+4.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.60vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+6.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.51vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.08+2.62vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.59vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+1.99vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-2.09vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.07-0.11vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.78-0.97vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-3.93vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.92-3.86vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-1.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-6.12vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-4.25vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Harvard University3.0512.4%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.9011.3%1st Place
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5.6Yale University2.7311.5%1st Place
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10.08Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.6%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College2.086.3%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.9%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.714.2%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island2.787.4%1st Place
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9.89Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
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10.03Brown University1.784.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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12.95Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University1.311.8%1st Place
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14.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 19.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 10.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.