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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.37+2.48vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.18+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.20+1.13vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.19+0.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.62-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.08-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.11-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Brown University0.3716.2%1st Place
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2.16Roger Williams University1.1840.5%1st Place
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4.13University of Rhode Island-0.2011.8%1st Place
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4.33Northeastern University-0.1910.9%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.735.7%1st Place
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4.96University of Vermont-0.626.7%1st Place
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5.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.084.5%1st Place
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5.77University of New Hampshire-1.113.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 16.2% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack Crager | 40.5% | 27.5% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Grant Smith | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 21.2% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% |
| Brendan Ballon | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 27.4% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.