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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.07+7.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.08+5.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+1.19vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+0.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.84vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-1.11vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+0.92vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92-0.86vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-2.22vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-1.94vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.22vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-1.13vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.78-5.07vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-4.26vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Dartmouth College2.9011.3%1st Place
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9.79Roger Williams University2.074.2%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.085.1%1st Place
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5.19Harvard University3.0514.7%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.7312.3%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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7.8Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island2.788.6%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College1.924.7%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.125.1%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
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12.87Fairfield University0.731.5%1st Place
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9.93Brown University1.783.5%1st Place
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11.74Salve Regina University1.311.8%1st Place
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14.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 18.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 9.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.