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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+2.11vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+3.75vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.83+7.39vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+3.24vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+3.07vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53+2.07vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.11vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75-0.58vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-2.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-2.64vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+1.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.70vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.33-4.14vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-1.34vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-8.60vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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4.11Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.42Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.84Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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13.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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13.66Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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16.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 21.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 18.2% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Casella | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 29.5% | 7.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 31.7% | 10.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.