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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+2.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+3.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+3.97vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.83+6.19vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+2.54vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+1.25vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.16vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56+0.08vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75-1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-3.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.33-2.35vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-3.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.38vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-1.37vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-2.59vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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4.12Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.25Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.09Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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13.63Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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16.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 21.5% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 17.6% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 33.2% | 10.2% |
| Emily Casella | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 26.0% | 8.5% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 11.6% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.