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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.08+7.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+4.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+2.12vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.07+6.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.53vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.78+3.85vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-1.32vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+2.13vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12-0.17vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92-0.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.27vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-5.35vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-1.20vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.20-6.08vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.73-1.94vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.71-5.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Bowdoin College2.084.7%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.9010.5%1st Place
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5.12Harvard University3.0513.6%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University2.074.2%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.7%1st Place
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9.85Brown University1.784.2%1st Place
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5.68Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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10.13Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College1.924.4%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.5%1st Place
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6.65University of Rhode Island2.789.7%1st Place
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11.8Salve Regina University1.311.8%1st Place
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7.92Boston College2.206.5%1st Place
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13.06Fairfield University0.731.2%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.713.6%1st Place
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14.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.