← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.71+7.14vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.53+6.89vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.82+4.93vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.99+3.42vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.18+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Boston College4.01-1.66vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.83+4.38vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.97+5.51vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.76vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.15vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.56-1.95vs Predicted
-
12Yale University4.10-7.94vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.75-4.67vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-0.58vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.33-5.32vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.74-7.69vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.14Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
-
8.89Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
7.93Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.42University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.59Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
4.34Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
-
11.38Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
13.51Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
5.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.05Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
4.06Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
8.33Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
13.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
9.68Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
8.31Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
16.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.7% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 17.6% | 32.4% | 10.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 20.0% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Casella | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 18.9% | 29.5% | 8.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.