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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.76vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.78+7.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+4.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.53vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-0.90vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+3.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-1.27vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.73+3.95vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.07-0.02vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-0.93vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.08-3.24vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-5.09vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.84vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-3.15vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.92-7.03vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.90-11.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.3%1st Place
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5.76Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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10.06Brown University1.783.7%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.6%1st Place
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5.1Harvard University3.0513.2%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University1.714.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island2.789.8%1st Place
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12.95Fairfield University0.731.6%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University2.073.9%1st Place
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10.07Boston University1.653.5%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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7.91Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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14.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University1.312.9%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College1.925.5%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College2.9010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 19.3% | 21.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 50.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 10.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.