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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+5.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+5.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.53+5.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.06vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+3.03vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-1.67vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+1.27vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+1.47vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71-0.43vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-2.08vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-1.94vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97+1.75vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.98vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-2.49vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.50vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-2.60vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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4.06Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.03Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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4.33Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.27Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.92Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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13.75Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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13.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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16.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 19.7% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 33.4% | 10.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Emily Casella | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 26.1% | 8.5% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.