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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.52vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.07vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+2.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.72vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+6.57vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+4.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78-0.11vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+2.13vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08-0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-1.95vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-1.88vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.78-1.94vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.07-3.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-6.20vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-2.91vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Yale University2.7313.0%1st Place
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5.07Harvard University3.0514.8%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College2.9011.5%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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11.57Salve Regina University1.312.4%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island2.788.6%1st Place
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10.13Boston University1.653.9%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.084.8%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.205.7%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College1.924.8%1st Place
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10.06Brown University1.783.4%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.073.5%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.125.3%1st Place
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13.09Fairfield University0.731.2%1st Place
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14.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 8.6% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 19.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.