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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+5.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.08+6.77vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.01vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.70vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+4.91vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+1.97vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+4.67vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+1.97vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05-3.78vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-4.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-2.24vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-3.00vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.73-0.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.32vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-4.98vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.29vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.78-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85University of Rhode Island2.788.2%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College2.9010.2%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University2.073.4%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.207.0%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.312.1%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University1.714.0%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University3.0513.2%1st Place
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5.67Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College1.925.0%1st Place
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12.91Fairfield University0.731.8%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.3%1st Place
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10.02Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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14.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.6%1st Place
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10.19Brown University1.783.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
| Will Priebe | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 20.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 49.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.