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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+7.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+5.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+2.94vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.53+4.00vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+3.24vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97+6.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-0.58vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-4.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33-0.23vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-6.82vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-3.57vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+0.49vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.75-5.51vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-5.16vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67+0.36vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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13.8Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.42Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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4.18Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.43Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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16.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 19.3% | 34.7% | 10.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.1% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 19.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Casella | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 29.0% | 8.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 4.6% | 12.3% | 76.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.