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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.79vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.43vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+0.98vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31+5.66vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+2.97vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20-0.25vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.78+1.05vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12-0.98vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-2.13vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-2.00vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.73+0.15vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.07-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-8.21vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.33vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.92-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Harvard University3.0514.3%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.3%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.9011.2%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.311.9%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University1.714.2%1st Place
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7.75Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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10.05Brown University1.783.8%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.084.5%1st Place
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10.0Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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13.15Fairfield University0.731.3%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.073.8%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island2.788.7%1st Place
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14.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College1.925.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 9.6% |
| Will Priebe | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 21.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 49.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.