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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+5.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.07+7.82vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+1.99vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.08+4.79vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+5.08vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73-0.38vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+3.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+0.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.31vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.73+2.05vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-3.95vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.78-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-7.19vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-3.28vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.37vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.92-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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9.82Roger Williams University2.074.0%1st Place
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4.99Harvard University3.0515.3%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.085.3%1st Place
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10.08Boston University1.653.1%1st Place
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5.62Yale University2.7313.9%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.125.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.0%1st Place
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13.05Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.206.7%1st Place
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10.07Brown University1.784.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Rhode Island2.788.6%1st Place
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11.72Salve Regina University1.312.1%1st Place
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14.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College1.923.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Jack Egan | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 21.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 48.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.