← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.18+5.66vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.75+6.30vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.69vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.10+0.14vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.01-0.76vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.20vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.56+2.02vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+5.21vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.97+5.01vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.74-1.66vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.99-3.34vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.71-3.50vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.53-3.72vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.01-6.36vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.33-5.21vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.34-6.12vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.66Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.3Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
4.14Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
4.24Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
-
6.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.02Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
13.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
14.01Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.34Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
7.66University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.5Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.28Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
7.64Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
-
9.79Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
9.88Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
16.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.1% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 18.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Casella | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 19.5% | 29.2% | 8.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 37.8% | 10.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 11.5% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.