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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+6.74vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+4.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+5.64vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+4.18vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+1.95vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+6.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.55+3.03vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-3.00vs Predicted
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102.13-0.22vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-0.94vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.91-7.72vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-0.53vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.42-0.76vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-7.82vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.71-4.46vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.07-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Boston College2.566.6%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College2.759.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.035.7%1st Place
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8.18Boston University1.796.3%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University2.458.2%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University1.442.2%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.2%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University1.553.0%1st Place
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6.0Yale University2.9212.4%1st Place
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9.782.133.6%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island1.614.0%1st Place
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13.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.3%1st Place
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5.28Brown University2.9112.6%1st Place
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13.47Salve Regina University0.461.6%1st Place
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14.24Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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8.18Connecticut College2.296.2%1st Place
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12.54University of Vermont0.711.5%1st Place
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11.8Northeastern University1.073.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Miles Williams | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 27.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.