← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.01+3.21vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.53+7.09vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.10+1.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.99+3.53vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.75+3.24vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.21vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.71+1.58vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.74+0.26vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.01-1.37vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.18-3.25vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.19vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.34-2.23vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.56-3.83vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.33-3.99vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-1.62vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.97-2.10vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
-
9.09Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
4.06Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
7.53University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.24Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.58Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.26Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
-
7.63Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
6.75Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.77Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.17Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
10.01Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
13.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
13.9Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
-
16.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 20.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 19.3% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Casella | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 29.4% | 8.4% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 33.8% | 11.2% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 11.6% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.