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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.13+8.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.44+8.63vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+3.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+2.57vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91-1.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+4.40vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-2.06vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-4.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-0.37vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.49vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.61-3.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-8.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.61vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-2.40vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.532.133.9%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College2.7511.8%1st Place
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11.63Tufts University1.442.5%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College2.296.6%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.566.8%1st Place
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7.84Boston University1.797.2%1st Place
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5.24Brown University2.9113.3%1st Place
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12.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.9%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.458.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.9210.7%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University1.552.9%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College2.033.6%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island1.613.5%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.4%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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13.6Fairfield University0.421.5%1st Place
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12.7Salve Regina University0.461.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 32.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.