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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.18+1.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.37+1.44vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.19+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.20+0.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.62-1.08vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.11-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.08-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Roger Williams University1.1840.2%1st Place
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3.44Brown University0.3717.7%1st Place
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4.32Northeastern University-0.199.6%1st Place
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4.18University of Rhode Island-0.2011.7%1st Place
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5.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.735.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Vermont-0.627.4%1st Place
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5.83University of New Hampshire-1.113.8%1st Place
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5.73University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.084.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 40.2% | 27.5% | 18.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 17.7% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Grant Smith | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| Ryan Petrush | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 12.2% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 27.7% |
| Brendan Ballon | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.