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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+4.82vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+5.20vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+7.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.16+0.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-1.36vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41+0.69vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.99vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.78-3.48vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.21-2.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.16-4.43vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.17vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-5.96vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University2.780.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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10.04Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 3.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 34.6% | 11.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 10.1% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.