← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.75+4.86vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.55+8.64vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.56+4.37vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.03+4.38vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.92+0.96vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.29+1.94vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.54vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.79-0.14vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.07+2.26vs Predicted
-
102.13-0.40vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.45-4.14vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.50vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.44-1.37vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.46-1.03vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.91-10.02vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.61-5.91vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University0.42-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.86Dartmouth College2.7510.3%1st Place
-
10.64Harvard University1.552.6%1st Place
-
7.37Boston College2.567.8%1st Place
-
8.38Bowdoin College2.035.5%1st Place
-
5.96Yale University2.9210.1%1st Place
-
7.94Connecticut College2.296.9%1st Place
-
5.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.6%1st Place
-
7.86Boston University1.796.1%1st Place
-
11.26Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
-
9.62.134.0%1st Place
-
6.86Roger Williams University2.458.0%1st Place
-
12.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.0%1st Place
-
11.63Tufts University1.441.6%1st Place
-
12.97Salve Regina University0.461.6%1st Place
-
4.98Brown University2.9113.9%1st Place
-
10.09University of Rhode Island1.613.5%1st Place
-
13.65Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Dana Haig | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 16.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 9.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.