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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+4.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.78+5.42vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+3.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+4.41vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.21+4.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16+3.67vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.34vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.16-2.78vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.22vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-2.18vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-5.09vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.73-3.06vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-5.17vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-3.00vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.780.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.44Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.83Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Erica Lush | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 2.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 38.6% | 11.7% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 9.2% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.