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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+6.47vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+5.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.49vs Predicted
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42.13+5.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+6.56vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91-0.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45-0.32vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+0.32vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29-1.29vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-4.12vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-0.18vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.75-6.02vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.50vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.67vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-5.18vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-2.91vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Boston College2.567.5%1st Place
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7.82Boston University1.796.2%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.6%1st Place
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9.562.133.8%1st Place
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11.56Tufts University1.442.5%1st Place
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5.32Brown University2.9111.9%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.4510.3%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.035.5%1st Place
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7.71Connecticut College2.297.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.9210.3%1st Place
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10.82Harvard University1.552.8%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.7510.8%1st Place
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12.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University1.072.6%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island1.613.7%1st Place
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13.09Salve Regina University0.460.7%1st Place
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13.65Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Colman Schofield | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Dana Haig | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
Chloe Holder | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% |
Liam O'Keefe | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Aidan Hoogland | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Thibault Antonietti | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Thomas Whittemore | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Teddy Nicolosi | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Eric Hansen | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% |
Miles Williams | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
Emil Tullberg | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 20.2% |
Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.