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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+4.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.88vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+3.74vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+2.47vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91-0.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44+4.70vs Predicted
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82.13+1.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.74vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.45-3.03vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.04vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.46+1.00vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.42+0.60vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.60vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.55-5.33vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.61-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.8%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College2.7510.3%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.9211.1%1st Place
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7.74Connecticut College2.296.8%1st Place
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7.47Boston College2.567.0%1st Place
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5.06Brown University2.9114.0%1st Place
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11.7Tufts University1.441.6%1st Place
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9.462.133.6%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.035.2%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.458.4%1st Place
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7.96Boston University1.796.3%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University0.461.4%1st Place
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13.6Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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12.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.0%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University1.553.2%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island1.614.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 22.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 30.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 16.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Miles Williams | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.