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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+6.76vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.52vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+9.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.44+7.44vs Predicted
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52.13+4.48vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.85vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91-1.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-2.08vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-4.07vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.61-2.16vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.75-6.96vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.42-0.37vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.55-4.18vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-4.58vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Connecticut College2.297.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College2.567.2%1st Place
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12.79Salve Regina University0.461.7%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University1.442.1%1st Place
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9.482.134.5%1st Place
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7.85Boston University1.796.2%1st Place
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5.09Brown University2.9115.3%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.9%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University2.458.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University2.9210.3%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.034.9%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.613.2%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.759.6%1st Place
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13.63Fairfield University0.421.0%1st Place
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10.82Harvard University1.552.6%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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12.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 31.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.