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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+7.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+4.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.90vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+3.94vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.55+5.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75-0.04vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44+4.82vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-2.98vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.58vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.61-0.03vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-3.18vs Predicted
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122.13-2.43vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-5.54vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-8.53vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.83vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-3.02vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Bowdoin College2.035.5%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University2.458.4%1st Place
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5.9Yale University2.9212.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston University1.795.7%1st Place
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10.78Harvard University1.552.4%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College2.759.7%1st Place
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11.82Tufts University1.441.9%1st Place
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5.02Brown University2.9114.8%1st Place
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12.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island1.613.1%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College2.296.7%1st Place
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9.572.134.2%1st Place
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7.46Boston College2.566.6%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.2%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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12.98Salve Regina University0.461.6%1st Place
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13.4Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Dana Haig | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.