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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+4.87vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+8.66vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.19vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+3.83vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+6.17vs Predicted
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62.13+3.27vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+1.37vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-2.02vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-2.15vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46+2.92vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-2.92vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.55vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.42-0.40vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.44-3.35vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-8.51vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.61-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Dartmouth College2.7511.4%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University1.553.1%1st Place
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5.19Brown University2.9113.6%1st Place
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7.83Connecticut College2.295.9%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University1.072.8%1st Place
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9.272.133.6%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.035.5%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.9210.5%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.458.1%1st Place
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12.92Salve Regina University0.461.6%1st Place
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8.08Boston University1.795.9%1st Place
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12.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.8%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.1%1st Place
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13.6Fairfield University0.421.7%1st Place
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11.65Tufts University1.442.2%1st Place
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7.49Boston College2.566.8%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island1.613.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 7.3% |
| Dana Haig | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 20.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 32.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.