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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.16+4.19vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.78+4.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+1.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+1.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16+3.72vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.80vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-2.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.29vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.73+0.03vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-3.80vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-3.14vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-5.26vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.42vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-6.46vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.19Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University2.780.1%1st Place
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5.66Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.74Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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15.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.54Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Urska Kosir | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 2.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% |
| Camille Matile | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 9.4% | 80.8% |
| Erica Lush | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 37.6% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.