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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+2.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+3.52vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+4.55vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+1.44vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+2.80vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38-0.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+2.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+0.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.05+0.31vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+2.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-3.32vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.25-3.69vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.80-3.01vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-6.32vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.70-1.81vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University-0.66-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Harvard University3.1818.9%1st Place
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5.52Yale University2.4211.8%1st Place
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7.55Boston College2.027.0%1st Place
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5.44Roger Williams University2.6812.5%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College1.955.5%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.2%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College2.389.3%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University1.182.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston University1.393.8%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College2.388.6%1st Place
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11.31University of Rhode Island1.051.7%1st Place
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14.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.091.2%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University1.304.3%1st Place
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10.31Brown University1.252.9%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont0.801.7%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.6%1st Place
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15.19Salve Regina University-0.700.5%1st Place
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16.0Fairfield University-0.660.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 18.9% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 18.7% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| William George | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 25.1% | 26.0% |
| Andrew White | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.