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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.39+7.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+3.45vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+3.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.18-0.17vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+3.43vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+0.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+0.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18+0.37vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.25-1.01vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-5.88vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-5.58vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.05-3.35vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.09vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.70-1.42vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.66-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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5.45Yale University2.4210.5%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College2.3810.9%1st Place
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3.83Harvard University3.1821.2%1st Place
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8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.2%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University1.303.5%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College1.955.9%1st Place
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5.12Roger Williams University2.6812.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.3%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
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9.99Brown University1.253.0%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.389.3%1st Place
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7.42Boston College2.025.5%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island1.052.4%1st Place
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13.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.5%1st Place
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14.58Salve Regina University-0.700.8%1st Place
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15.02Fairfield University-0.660.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.2% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Walter Henry | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| William George | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 25.8% | 18.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 27.4% |
| Andrew White | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 19.9% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.