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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.51vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.47+2.39vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+1.44vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+3.86vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84+0.41vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.61-2.05vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.87+5.15vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+1.98vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.52+2.01vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.31+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.10-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.67+2.82vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.41-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.24-4.61vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-0.36vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-2.05-0.44vs Predicted
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17University of Florida-1.42-3.35vs Predicted
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18The Citadel-1.52-3.85vs Predicted
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19Embry-Riddle University-1.51-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9910.6%1st Place
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4.39San Diego State University1.4715.6%1st Place
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4.44North Carolina State University1.5314.6%1st Place
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7.86Hampton University0.725.1%1st Place
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5.41Jacksonville University0.8411.2%1st Place
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3.95Roger Williams University1.6118.9%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University-0.871.8%1st Place
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9.98Florida Institute of Technology-0.482.6%1st Place
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11.01Clemson University-0.522.2%1st Place
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11.31University of South Florida-0.312.5%1st Place
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8.23University of Michigan0.103.9%1st Place
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14.82University of Central Florida-1.670.7%1st Place
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9.7University of South Carolina-0.414.0%1st Place
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9.39University of North Carolina-0.242.6%1st Place
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14.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.6%1st Place
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15.56Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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13.65University of Florida-1.421.1%1st Place
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14.15The Citadel-1.520.8%1st Place
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13.83Embry-Riddle University-1.510.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 18.9% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Roou | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| William Avery | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Ted Sherman | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 18.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 16.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 27.9% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.