← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.18+2.82vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.02+5.36vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.38+3.08vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.68+1.34vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.42+0.24vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.39+3.07vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.40vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.30+1.24vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.05+1.67vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.95-2.24vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.18-0.74vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-2.97vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.25-2.92vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.38-7.81vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.70-0.54vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-2.10vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University-0.66-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82Harvard University3.1819.8%1st Place
-
7.36Boston College2.025.6%1st Place
-
6.08Dartmouth College2.389.0%1st Place
-
5.34Roger Williams University2.6811.6%1st Place
-
5.24Yale University2.4213.7%1st Place
-
9.07Boston University1.393.7%1st Place
-
9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.664.0%1st Place
-
9.24Tufts University1.303.8%1st Place
-
10.67University of Rhode Island1.052.6%1st Place
-
7.76Connecticut College1.955.1%1st Place
-
10.26Northeastern University1.183.0%1st Place
-
9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.2%1st Place
-
10.08Brown University1.252.5%1st Place
-
6.19Bowdoin College2.389.3%1st Place
-
14.46Salve Regina University-0.700.5%1st Place
-
13.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.8%1st Place
-
15.11Fairfield University-0.660.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 19.8% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Olin Guck | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| William George | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 27.7% | 28.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 23.1% | 20.2% |
| Andrew White | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 21.6% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.