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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.39+8.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+4.25vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+5.52vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+1.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.25+4.08vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-3.13vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.09vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.67-0.86vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95-1.93vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.42-5.63vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-1.75vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-5.66vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.05-3.34vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.70-0.55vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.66-0.79vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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5.42Roger Williams University2.6812.5%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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6.27Bowdoin College2.388.7%1st Place
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10.08Brown University1.253.6%1st Place
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3.87Harvard University3.1822.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.452.6%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University1.674.7%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College1.955.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University2.4212.2%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University1.182.4%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.026.9%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island1.052.3%1st Place
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14.45Salve Regina University-0.700.5%1st Place
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15.21Fairfield University-0.660.4%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William George | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 22.1% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Eastman | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 27.2% | 27.3% |
| Andrew White | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 21.2% | 47.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 25.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.