← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.87+5.86vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.78+5.18vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.50vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.96+2.83vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.46vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.97-0.30vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.58+0.11vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.21+0.08vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.21-4.20vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.73-0.14vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.16-6.01vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.83-2.60vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.28vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.16-5.72vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University2.08-6.22vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.86Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.18Roger Williams University2.780.1%1st Place
-
4.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
-
6.83University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.7Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.11Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.08Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.8Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.86Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
5.99Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
-
10.4Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
12.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
-
9.28Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
-
9.78Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
15.43University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 17.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Erica Lush | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 3.2% |
| Urska Kosir | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 2.9% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 35.2% | 10.1% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 9.8% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.