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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.39+8.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+3.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+3.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.12vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+1.24vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-0.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.25+2.90vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-4.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.67-0.92vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02-2.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.05-1.17vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-2.52vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-4.54vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.70-0.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-2.12vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.66-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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5.49Yale University2.4211.3%1st Place
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6.13Bowdoin College2.388.4%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.3%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.389.2%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University2.6812.8%1st Place
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9.9Brown University1.252.5%1st Place
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3.79Harvard University3.1821.4%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.675.3%1st Place
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7.5Boston College2.026.2%1st Place
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7.92Connecticut College1.955.8%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island1.052.4%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University1.182.2%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.1%1st Place
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14.55Salve Regina University-0.700.5%1st Place
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13.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.5%1st Place
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15.2Fairfield University-0.660.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William George | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.4% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Olin Guck | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 27.0% | 28.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 18.7% |
| Andrew White | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 21.3% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.