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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.78+6.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+3.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97+2.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.41vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-0.09vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.16+2.44vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-1.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+1.72vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58-1.93vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.16-5.00vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+0.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21-3.83vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-3.61vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.67vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.08-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Roger Williams University2.780.1%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.91Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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12.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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9.17Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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15.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki Medley | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 2.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Urska Kosir | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 36.1% | 11.4% |
| Erica Lush | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 0.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 9.5% | 80.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.