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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+4.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.25+6.87vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.39+5.14vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+4.48vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-2.13vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.05+2.68vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02-1.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-5.75vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-1.72vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-6.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-4.63vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.14vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.70-1.57vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.66-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Yale University2.4211.6%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College2.389.2%1st Place
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9.87Brown University1.253.8%1st Place
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9.14Boston University1.393.7%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.303.6%1st Place
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3.87Harvard University3.1819.7%1st Place
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7.81Connecticut College1.954.9%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island1.052.5%1st Place
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7.21Boston College2.025.9%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.5%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University2.6812.2%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College2.3810.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.7%1st Place
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13.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.7%1st Place
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14.43Salve Regina University-0.700.7%1st Place
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15.18Fairfield University-0.660.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William George | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.7% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olin Guck | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 14.9% | 24.9% | 29.4% |
| Andrew White | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 23.9% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.