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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+9.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.38vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+3.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+2.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.78+2.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.40vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.21+1.23vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.16-3.11vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.16-0.65vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-1.23vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-1.63vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.87-6.00vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.58-6.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.30vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.97-9.34vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.62Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University2.780.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.89Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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6.66Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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15.39University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 2.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 0.6% |
| Urska Kosir | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 1.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 2.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 33.5% | 11.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.