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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.25+7.92vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+3.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+3.33vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+1.17vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+2.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.46vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-4.16vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-3.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30-0.71vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-3.14vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-3.06vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-2.65vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.05-3.48vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.07vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.70-1.54vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.66-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Yale University2.4211.2%1st Place
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9.92Brown University1.253.2%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.388.7%1st Place
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7.33Boston College2.027.0%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College2.3810.2%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.5%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.4%1st Place
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3.84Harvard University3.1821.3%1st Place
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5.21Roger Williams University2.6811.9%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.303.2%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College1.955.8%1st Place
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8.94Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University1.182.4%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island1.052.8%1st Place
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13.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.6%1st Place
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14.46Salve Regina University-0.700.7%1st Place
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15.29Fairfield University-0.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William George | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| William Michels | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.3% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 18.7% | 24.9% | 18.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 27.6% | 28.9% |
| Andrew White | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 22.5% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.