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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+3.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+0.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.95vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+1.21vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+2.90vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+3.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.25+1.83vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-2.94vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30-0.72vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-3.05vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.05-1.32vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-5.61vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.70+0.46vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.21vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-6.36vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.66-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Roger Williams University2.6811.5%1st Place
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5.26Yale University2.4213.4%1st Place
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3.84Harvard University3.1820.9%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.9%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College2.389.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University1.182.5%1st Place
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9.83Brown University1.253.5%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.389.6%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University1.303.5%1st Place
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7.95Connecticut College1.954.9%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island1.052.3%1st Place
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7.39Boston College2.027.2%1st Place
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14.46Salve Regina University-0.700.4%1st Place
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13.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.6%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.0%1st Place
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15.19Fairfield University-0.660.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 20.9% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| William George | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 25.8% | 28.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 25.0% | 18.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Andrew White | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 20.8% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.