Race 1A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
William Livernois 20.2% 18.3% 15.9% 16.6% 12.0% 9.6% 5.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Matthew Mollerus 27.6% 24.1% 17.7% 15.0% 8.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Solomon Krevans 14.3% 14.7% 17.0% 16.6% 14.0% 12.2% 7.5% 3.5% 0.2%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 6.4% 8.7% 9.9% 11.8% 13.1% 16.4% 16.2% 14.1% 3.4%
Christian Houston-Floyd 13.4% 16.4% 16.6% 12.9% 13.6% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 0.9%
Matthew Clarida 5.5% 5.3% 6.5% 9.0% 13.2% 15.1% 20.6% 19.0% 5.8%
Matteo Alampi 8.0% 8.0% 9.8% 13.2% 15.6% 15.9% 16.4% 11.2% 1.9%
Conor Mook 1.2% 0.4% 1.8% 0.7% 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 11.7% 74.3%
Meghan Colwell 3.4% 4.1% 4.8% 4.2% 7.5% 11.3% 18.2% 33.1% 13.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.