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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+2.99vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.39+7.08vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+5.08vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.38+4.67vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+0.23vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-1.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-1.77vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+1.25vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95-2.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-1.50vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.02-4.69vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-3.42vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.25-4.02vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.01vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.70-1.48vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.66-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Harvard University3.1819.8%1st Place
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9.08Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University2.6811.8%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.9%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island1.384.2%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College2.388.9%1st Place
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5.42Yale University2.4212.2%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.389.0%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University1.182.6%1st Place
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7.84Connecticut College1.955.6%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.6%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.026.8%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.302.9%1st Place
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9.98Brown University1.253.4%1st Place
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13.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.7%1st Place
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14.52Salve Regina University-0.700.4%1st Place
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15.14Fairfield University-0.660.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 19.8% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Walter Henry | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| William George | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| John Van Zanten | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 25.8% | 20.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 26.1% | 28.6% |
| Andrew White | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 22.5% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.