Race 2A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Mollerus 31.7% 22.3% 17.9% 13.7% 7.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
William Livernois 16.0% 19.4% 18.6% 14.6% 11.8% 11.1% 5.0% 3.3% 0.2%
Christian Houston-Floyd 12.4% 15.1% 13.3% 15.0% 15.5% 14.1% 10.3% 3.6% 0.7%
Matteo Alampi 8.3% 9.3% 11.6% 12.4% 14.2% 15.2% 15.1% 11.7% 2.2%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 7.0% 9.6% 10.5% 11.4% 12.9% 14.6% 15.9% 13.9% 4.2%
Matthew Clarida 5.5% 5.5% 7.5% 8.8% 12.5% 14.5% 21.4% 20.1% 4.2%
Solomon Krevans 14.8% 14.2% 15.5% 16.7% 16.5% 10.9% 7.5% 3.7% 0.2%
Meghan Colwell 3.6% 3.3% 3.9% 6.0% 7.2% 11.4% 18.8% 32.0% 13.8%
Conor Mook 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 4.1% 11.4% 74.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.