Race 3A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Mollerus 31.5% 24.0% 17.9% 11.6% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Matteo Alampi 5.4% 7.3% 10.6% 12.3% 14.8% 17.3% 17.3% 11.5% 3.5%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 6.0% 6.8% 9.3% 11.4% 14.8% 15.8% 18.7% 14.2% 3.0%
Matthew Clarida 5.8% 5.6% 7.9% 10.4% 11.2% 15.6% 19.6% 19.3% 4.6%
Christian Houston-Floyd 14.7% 15.6% 15.5% 14.7% 12.4% 12.0% 9.2% 5.3% 0.6%
William Livernois 18.5% 18.8% 19.8% 15.2% 12.4% 9.2% 3.7% 2.3% 0.1%
Solomon Krevans 13.8% 16.3% 13.9% 17.8% 15.2% 11.1% 8.2% 3.2% 0.5%
Meghan Colwell 3.6% 4.3% 4.0% 5.0% 8.6% 11.5% 17.2% 32.0% 13.8%
Conor Mook 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 4.5% 11.6% 73.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.