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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.55vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+1.85vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.42-0.45vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82-0.76vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.26-0.93vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55U. S. Naval Academy2.6027.8%1st Place
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3.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7911.5%1st Place
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2.55Georgetown University2.4228.5%1st Place
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3.24George Washington University1.8216.7%1st Place
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4.07Old Dominion University1.269.5%1st Place
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4.76Christopher Newport University0.736.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 27.8% | 26.2% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.5% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 19.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 28.5% | 25.2% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 16.7% | 18.1% | 21.2% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 7.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 26.2% | 21.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.