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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.56vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.47+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.24+6.42vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.31+7.23vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.53-0.47vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72+1.68vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.52+3.99vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.41+1.61vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.84-3.47vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.61-6.16vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-1.52+3.14vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.87+0.32vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68+1.60vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.10-5.70vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-1.67-1.37vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-2.05-1.48vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-1.51-3.95vs Predicted
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19University of Florida-1.42-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.999.4%1st Place
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4.33San Diego State University1.4716.0%1st Place
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9.42University of North Carolina-0.243.9%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida-0.312.2%1st Place
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4.53North Carolina State University1.5315.3%1st Place
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7.68Hampton University0.725.6%1st Place
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10.99Clemson University-0.522.1%1st Place
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9.61University of South Carolina-0.413.3%1st Place
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5.53Jacksonville University0.8410.9%1st Place
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3.84Roger Williams University1.6119.2%1st Place
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14.14The Citadel-1.520.9%1st Place
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12.32Christopher Newport University-0.871.1%1st Place
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14.6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.7%1st Place
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8.3University of Michigan0.104.5%1st Place
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10.19Florida Institute of Technology-0.482.2%1st Place
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14.63University of Central Florida-1.670.8%1st Place
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15.52Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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14.05Embry-Riddle University-1.510.4%1st Place
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13.53University of Florida-1.420.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 16.0% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 15.3% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Avery | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 19.2% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% |
| Walter Roou | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 17.7% |
| Ted Sherman | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Rain Hong | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 27.6% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.