Race 4A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Mollerus 30.9% 24.2% 18.1% 12.3% 7.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Matthew Clarida 3.5% 4.1% 7.1% 9.8% 11.8% 15.3% 22.0% 19.9% 6.5%
Matteo Alampi 6.5% 8.4% 10.7% 13.1% 13.6% 17.3% 17.3% 11.2% 1.9%
William Livernois 19.5% 19.9% 18.9% 14.3% 13.9% 8.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Christian Houston-Floyd 14.2% 16.5% 14.5% 14.0% 14.9% 11.3% 9.2% 4.8% 0.6%
Solomon Krevans 15.3% 14.7% 15.9% 17.1% 15.5% 11.9% 5.9% 3.4% 0.3%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 6.1% 7.3% 9.5% 11.4% 14.0% 17.7% 17.5% 13.4% 3.1%
Meghan Colwell 3.1% 3.9% 4.1% 6.7% 7.0% 10.9% 17.5% 33.4% 13.4%
Conor Mook 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 12.3% 73.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.