Race 5A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christian Houston-Floyd 13.1% 14.7% 13.0% 15.1% 15.4% 12.9% 10.3% 5.2% 0.3%
Matthew Mollerus 28.3% 23.9% 17.3% 14.9% 6.4% 5.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Solomon Krevans 14.6% 15.3% 16.5% 14.4% 14.3% 12.6% 8.6% 3.4% 0.3%
Meghan Colwell 3.2% 3.4% 4.6% 6.9% 9.4% 11.5% 15.1% 33.8% 12.1%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 6.3% 10.0% 10.6% 10.7% 13.8% 12.5% 19.2% 12.8% 4.1%
Matteo Alampi 8.6% 8.9% 10.2% 12.3% 13.2% 18.1% 16.0% 11.0% 1.7%
William Livernois 19.3% 17.1% 19.2% 15.4% 13.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.2%
Matthew Clarida 6.0% 5.6% 7.2% 8.9% 11.3% 14.9% 19.1% 20.3% 6.7%
Conor Mook 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 3.0% 4.9% 10.7% 74.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.