Race 6A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Mollerus 30.0% 23.0% 19.0% 14.4% 7.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
William Livernois 14.9% 19.3% 19.7% 15.1% 13.0% 9.8% 5.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Christian Houston-Floyd 12.8% 13.4% 15.2% 15.8% 14.8% 14.4% 8.2% 4.6% 0.8%
Matteo Alampi 8.7% 8.9% 10.6% 13.4% 15.5% 14.1% 16.7% 9.7% 2.4%
Solomon Krevans 15.6% 19.1% 14.5% 13.5% 13.2% 12.1% 7.0% 4.1% 0.9%
Matthew Clarida 5.7% 5.3% 7.3% 10.1% 11.7% 16.2% 21.2% 17.8% 4.7%
Meghan Colwell 3.2% 3.5% 3.0% 5.7% 7.6% 11.6% 17.8% 34.0% 13.6%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 8.0% 6.8% 9.1% 10.8% 14.5% 14.3% 18.0% 15.0% 3.5%
Conor Mook 1.1% 0.7% 1.6% 1.2% 2.3% 3.5% 4.1% 11.7% 73.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.