Race 1B

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cali Warner 10.0% 10.4% 10.2% 12.6% 15.4% 15.6% 16.2% 8.7% 0.9%
Philip Koch 12.6% 18.9% 13.5% 17.8% 15.7% 10.2% 8.4% 2.6% 0.3%
Margaret Bacon 25.2% 19.4% 17.9% 13.7% 11.6% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Julia Lord 10.4% 11.8% 14.5% 12.8% 14.3% 14.5% 15.3% 6.0% 0.4%
Victoria McGruer 20.5% 20.0% 15.0% 13.1% 12.1% 10.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.4%
William Bloxham 11.5% 10.0% 15.0% 14.6% 11.7% 17.0% 14.2% 5.3% 0.7%
Peter Kerby-Miller 6.9% 7.0% 10.4% 10.8% 14.1% 16.5% 21.0% 11.4% 1.9%
Earl Lin 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 4.9% 17.6% 68.7%
William Gomez 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 5.1% 10.7% 44.8% 26.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.