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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Georgia-1.18+4.29vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+1.08vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53-0.44vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+0.74vs Predicted
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5Auburn University0.56-1.47vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.14-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of Georgia-1.181.8%1st Place
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3.08The Citadel1.2214.2%1st Place
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2.56North Carolina State University1.5322.9%1st Place
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4.74Georgia Institute of Technology-0.563.2%1st Place
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3.53Auburn University0.569.4%1st Place
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1.81College of Charleston2.1448.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Weese | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 24.6% | 59.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 14.2% | 20.0% | 26.6% | 24.4% | 12.6% | 2.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 22.9% | 28.7% | 25.6% | 15.9% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 38.8% | 31.8% |
| Gavin Valentine | 9.4% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 33.4% | 17.0% | 6.1% |
| Harrison Thomson | 48.4% | 30.6% | 14.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.