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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39+3.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+1.23vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.55+1.52vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.96-0.39vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.15+0.04vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05-2.49vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.49-2.41vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.36-0.53vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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3.23Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.52Harvard University1.550.1%1st Place
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3.61Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
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5.04Middlebury College1.150.1%1st Place
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3.51Northeastern University2.050.2%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.47Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.31Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cali Warner | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 21.7% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| William Bloxham | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Philip Koch | 17.8% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 2.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 19.7% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lord | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| William Gomez | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 43.5% | 27.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 19.3% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.