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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+0.61vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.40-0.05vs Predicted
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3Auburn University-0.99+1.22vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+0.13vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.75-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.86-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61College of Charleston1.7553.6%1st Place
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1.95North Carolina State University1.4033.6%1st Place
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4.22Auburn University-0.993.9%1st Place
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4.13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.943.5%1st Place
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3.93The Citadel-0.754.7%1st Place
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5.16University of Georgia-1.860.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Carvajal | 53.6% | 34.1% | 10.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 33.6% | 43.0% | 18.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Rux | 3.9% | 6.2% | 19.5% | 24.2% | 27.1% | 19.1% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 3.5% | 6.8% | 20.2% | 27.8% | 26.6% | 15.2% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 4.7% | 7.3% | 23.5% | 29.6% | 24.6% | 10.3% |
| Edward Ryan | 0.8% | 2.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 20.8% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.